The Indian Banking sector is expected to witness credit growth in the range of 20% to 22% in the financial year 2010-11. This was disclosed by Ms. Rupa Kudva, MD &CEO, Crisil India in Mumbai on Thursday. She was speaking at the seminar ‘The New Normal: The Changing Face of the Financial Markets’.
Ms. Kuduva stated that the growth would be mostly driven by demand from infrastructure, automobile and telecom sectors. However, to fuel this high demand, banks will have to aim for a near-impossible compounded growth rate of 25% in deposits. This situation may ultimately compel banks to borrow funds from the market at a higher cost.
Regarding the recent spurt in influx of foreign investments in Indian market, she said that capital controls is a possibility if the abundance of money becomes a threat to financial stability. “India may have to control the amount of foreign money flowing into its economy if the surplus cash threatens to destabilize the financial sector. In the corporate bond market, foreign investments have reached $10 billion, which is an all-time high,” she said.
Ms. Kuduva stated that Indian banks were never involved in over-leveraging and complex financial products. Instead, they will become ‘more sophisticated, issuing complex products and became more transparent’, which means that they will not be mimicking the global trends. Despite this, there will be improvement in its integration with global markets, driven by the need for funds .
The recent spat among regulators over ULIPs has thrown up solutions such as appointing a super regulator. Ms. Kudva, though did not reply directly, said that it is ideal for each market to have a single regulator rather than a super regulator to regulate regulators.


